An immuno-epidemiological model for Johne’s disease in cattle

نویسندگان

  • Maia Martcheva
  • Suzanne Lenhart
  • Shigetoshi Eda
  • Don Klinkenberg
  • Eiichi Momotani
  • Judy Stabel
چکیده

To better understand the mechanisms involved in the dynamics of Johne's disease in dairy cattle, this paper illustrates a novel way to link a within-host model for Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis with an epidemiological model. The underlying variable in the within-host model is the time since infection. Two compartments, infected macrophages and T cells, of the within-host model feed into the epidemiological model through the direct transmission rate, disease-induced mortality rate, the vertical transmission rate, and the shedding of MAP into the environment. The epidemiological reproduction number depends on the within-host bacteria load in a complex way, exhibiting multiple peaks. A possible mechanism to account for the switch in shedding patterns of the bacteria in this disease is included in the within-host model, and its effect can be seen in the epidemiological reproduction model.

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عنوان ژورنال:

دوره 46  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2015